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View Article  Groan's Premiership Predictions 10-6

10. Portsmouth (Last season – 9th)

 

In: Nugent, Utaka, Distin, Hreidarsson, Muntari, Cranie, Mvuemba, Reynolds

Out: Todorov, Fordyce, Griffin, Mbesuma

 

After last season’s success, Harry Redknapp has added to the squad wisely, with a mix of experienced players, used to the Premiership, European players with real potential, and David Nugent, who is likely to impress himself upon the Premiership.

 

Redknapp has a habit of getting the best out of his players, and given that their squad looks relatively strong this season, I can’t imagine they’ll be anywhere near the bottom. Fratton Park still earns them plenty of points, so another top ten finish is perfectly achievable.

 

I would also be surprised if their spending has finished. Expect another couple of names before the end of August.

 

9. Aston Villa (Last season – 11th)

 

In: Reo-Coker, Harewood, Forrester, Lichaj

Out: Hughes, Samuel, Davis, McCann, Angel, Henderson, Hendrie, Olejnik, Sutton

 

Martin O’Neill has now had a full summer to tweak his squad, and he normally does that extremely well, picking the players he feels he can work well with. But so far, his signings have been few and far between, so I’d expect at least two more before September comes around.

 

O’Neill is the right kind of character to make Reo-Coker focus on his football, but the other ex-Hammer, Marlon Harewood, is surely a step too far. There’s only so much distance managerial talent goes before the player actually needs to have some ability of his own.

 

The squad clearout has certainly happened, with so many fringe players leaving, but they still need a couple of new faces. I expect O’Neill to get the chequebook out again, and Villa to push hard for a European place.

 

8. Newcastle (Last season – 13th)

 

In: Viduka, Barton, Rozehnal, Geremi, Smith, Cacapa, Enrique

Out: Parker, Bramble, Sibierski, Moore, Bernard, O’Brien

 

One of the perennial questions asked before the start of every season is: will this be the season that Newcastle finally win something? But is never is, and this season will be no different.

 

Viduka is a good signing, as Owen doesn’t count as anything other than a stretcher tester these days, and Barton will add the spike to the midfield in a way that Sam Allardyce likes. In fact, Newcastle are managing a complete turnaround – after being everyone’s second team when Keegan was making them play stunning football, they will now be turned into a physical team of long ball merchants. Will the Geordie fans accept it? If they’re successful, of course. If not, this may not be Allardyce’s dream job.

 

I would imagine they would do better than last season, but not well enough to reach Europe. Expect to see a lot of Newcastle’s coaching staff on MOTD, as Allardyce continues his pathetic boycott of the BBC.

 

7. West Ham (Last season – 15th)

 

In: Parker, Faubert, Wright, Bellamy, Ljungberg

Out: Konchesky, Reo-Coker, Mears, Benayoun, Harewood, Sheringham, Newton, Carroll

 

I should be predicting exactly where West Ham are going to finish in the Championship, but they managed to cheat and lie their way out of trouble and maintain their position in the top flight.

 

Now shorn of Carlos Tevez, they need goalscorers, but the returning Ashton and Bellamy should provide plenty of those. Faubert is out for six months, and Ljungberg’s signing is only a good one for Arsenal if you’ve seen his slow down over the last couple of years. Parker, meanwhile, will probably do the job that Reo-Coker was supposed to do, but he’ll carry it out well. I’ve always rated him very highly.

 

I can see West Ham pushing on from how they finished last season, and may even creep into a UEFA Cup place. We may not like the fact that they’re still in the Premiership, but we’ll have to get used to it – they’re here to stay now.

 

6. Tottenham (Last season – 5th)

 

In: Bale, Taarabt, Berchiche, Bent, Kaboul, Rose, Boateng

Out: Hallfredsson, Ziegler, Yeates

 

Ah, common prediction number two – Spurs will break into the top four. In fact, they’re apparently closing the gap on the top four all the time. Which is why, of course, they finished so much further behind last season. Er....logic?

 

Let’s get real. Pundits are predicting Spurs to finish above Arsenal because it seems to be the common option. Yet whenever Spurs’ first team faced Arsenal’s kids last season, they were utterly outclassed. That should be the reality check.

 

Darren Bent is a decent striker, but 16m is utterly ludicrous. And what makes the signing even more bizarre is that he joins their most occupied position, so how exactly will he improve things? Where they need reinforcement is at the back, where they were as leaky as a chocolate teapot. And I can’t see their stability being any better than before.

 

Spurs fans will be beside themselves with gloating optimism at the start of the season, but towards the end they will once again be silenced. They are nowhere near good enough to challenge the top four yet.

 

 

View Article  Groan's Premiership Predictions 15-11

15. Reading (Last season – 8th)

 

In: Cisse, Fae

Out: Sidwell, Halford, Ujah, Hayes

 

Second season syndrome is one that hits a lot of teams – no-one expected Reading to finish eighth last time out and they surely won’t again. They’ve got the most settled squad in the Premiership, with barely any transfer dealings, but with so many sides that finished below them splashing out this summer, that may not be a good thing.

 

They’ve lost Sidwell, the midfielder destined for obscurity in Chelsea’s reserves, and not really replaced him, but Coppell, my pick for manager of the season last year, has the nous to keep them away from danger. They have learned from one season in the top flight, but others have learnt about them. They should still have enough to survive.

 

14. Middlesbrough (Last season – 12th)

 

In: Tuncay, Aliadiere, Woodgate, Young

Out: Viduka, Parnaby, Xavier, Christie, Graham, Kennedy, Morrison

 

Losing Viduka was a huge blow to Boro, but Sanli Tuncay comes highly rated, so if they can keep hold of Yakubu they should still have plenty of goals in them. Aliadiere and his legs of glass provide another option when fit, but with him arriving and Woodgate signing on a permanent deal, they may have to hire another couple of physios.

 

Gareth Southgate now has more experience as a top flight manager, having admitted himself that he was learning as he went, and that should keep them well away from any relegation battle.

 

13. Sunderland (Last season – Championship, 1st)

 

In: Etuhu, Richardson, Halford, Anderson, Chopra, McShane, Gordon

Out: Cunningham, Miller, Elliott

 

One thing you can guarantee from Sunderland – they’ll work their socks off. Having said that, I’m not sure they’ve got the players to push them impressively high up the table. They should have, after spending nearly 25m this summer, but you can’t help but feel they’ve been ripped off since their promotion. Craig Gordon is a decent prospect but not 9m worth, and as for spending 5m on Michael Chopra, well, let’s just say I don’t expect him to be troubling the golden boot regulars.

 

One thing they will have is team spirit and a never say die attitude, that they’ll get from their manager. He’s put pressure on himself by saying they’re aiming for Europe, but I think a secure finish away from the relegation battle is more realistic. I see comfort, but nothing more.

 

12. Everton (Last season – 6th)

 

In: Baines, Jutkiewicz, Jagielka, Pienaar

Out: Wright, Pistone, Naysmith, Beattie, Phelan

 

The bulk of Everton’s first eleven remains from last season, with a few players signed to challenge, and a few fringe players let go. On the face of it, this should mean that they’d have a strong year, as there’s a lot to be said for a settled squad.

 

But I don’t think they will. The money being flung around this summer means that there are a bunch of teams likely to improve dramatically this season, provided the new signings settle. And I can see a side like Everton being victims of that, and falling behind the pack. I’ll predict them to sit in mid-table all season long, never troubling the European places or relegation.

 

I also predict that they’ll beat Liverpool at home, as they seem to be making a happy habit of that.

 

11. Blackburn (Last season – 10th)

 

In: Nielsen, Rigters, Santa Cruz

Out: Todd, Gray

 

Last season’s bunch of ‘strong tacklers’ remains largely unaltered, so we can expect more physical football of the least subtle nature from Mark Hughes’ men. Expect them to win matches with a soft referee, and pick up a few red cards in the rest, leaving Hughes to rant and rave about the official, the lack of penalties, the opposition, and the inexplicable success of the Spice Girls.

 

Against Arsenal, for example, they will attempt to kick every threat on the park before running past eleven crocked players, only for Bentley to dive in the box and win a match clinching penalty. Which of course, if you listen to Hughes, they never get.

 

In all seriousness, Roque Santa Cruz will probably form a decent partnership with McCarthy, which should see them score enough to reach mid-table, but their team simply isn’t good enough to get into Europe. Thankfully.